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COVID-19 Population Risk Assessment


COVID-19 Population Risk Assessment
NHS Digital

We've used the University of Oxford’s QCovid® risk prediction model to identify additional people to be added to the Shielded Patient List (SPL).

We have used QCovid® to develop the COVID-19 Population Risk Assessment. This combines a number of factors such as age, sex registered at birth, ethnicity, body mass index (BMI) and specific health conditions and treatments to estimate the risk of a person catching coronavirus and becoming seriously unwell.

We have used patient data held centrally to identify people who might be at high risk and generated risk assessment results for these people. People whose results are above the agreed threshold for high risk (clinically extremely vulnerable) of severe illness from coronavirus have been added to the Shielded Patient List (SPL) in England.

Coronavirus information can be found on GOV.UK, including guidance for high risk (clinically extremely vulnerable) people.

Our use of QCovid® in the COVID-19 Population Risk Assessment using patient data held centrally has been registered by NHS Digital as a Class 1 medical device with the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA).

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